Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.554793 0.614411 0.679844 0.757361 0.847167 0.948519 1.072381
2025-05-25 0.451386 0.531394 0.626874 0.750810 0.909828 1.110414 1.388242
2025-06-01 0.389774 0.477745 0.588806 0.742480 0.954880 1.246569 1.693550
2025-06-08 0.346520 0.437723 0.557883 0.732628 0.989039 1.367027 1.999681
2025-06-15 0.324556 0.421347 0.553960 0.756053 1.070229 1.567327 2.479490
2025-06-22 0.294210 0.389477 0.523739 0.735498 1.079323 1.653969 2.789511
2025-06-29 0.273533 0.368783 0.506643 0.731368 1.112094 1.784383 3.219274
2025-07-06 0.249395 0.340725 0.475506 0.700640 1.094469 1.819967 3.466273
2025-07-13 0.240886 0.334864 0.477157 0.722724 1.171425 2.048201 4.221607
2025-07-20 0.232882 0.328930 0.477840 0.742808 1.247537 2.292529 5.128000
2025-07-27 0.223404 0.319852 0.472452 0.751307 1.302437 2.505053 6.059592
2025-08-03 0.209453 0.302669 0.452225 0.730610 1.295274 2.574811 6.605042
2025-08-10 0.195653 0.285269 0.431007 0.707232 1.282096 2.635226 7.188134
2025-08-17 0.185076 0.272529 0.416904 0.696137 1.294447 2.766014 8.123817
2025-08-24 0.175981 0.261616 0.405057 0.688022 1.312062 2.916497 9.261224
2025-08-31 0.167584 0.251317 0.393459 0.679056 1.326214 3.062378 10.517186
2025-09-07 0.164294 0.249403 0.396616 0.700199 1.415488 3.458544 13.421931
2025-09-14 0.155742 0.237926 0.381487 0.681640 1.403797 3.538546 14.737950
2025-09-21 0.149832 0.230707 0.373716 0.677908 1.429420 3.751414 17.184944
2025-09-28 0.141277 0.218404 0.355637 0.650127 1.387685 3.720047 17.949407
2025-10-05 0.139286 0.217574 0.359152 0.670098 1.477729 4.197612 23.494017
2025-10-12 0.137137 0.216320 0.361728 0.688242 1.566794 4.717433 30.993939
2025-10-19 0.133911 0.212925 0.359859 0.695914 1.627405 5.154195 39.323079